← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Virtus Entella win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Marco Brescianini · Virtus Entella |
| 18' | 🟨 | Tomi Petrović · Virtus Entella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nikolas Špalek · Brescia |
| 61' | ⚽ | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 72' | 🟨 | Filippo Costa · Virtus Entella |
| 75' | ⚽ | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniele Dessena · Brescia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 86' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.66 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.56 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| 90' | 🟥 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
| coach days | 60.00 | 853.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1494.53 | 1414.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.63 | -21.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 10.83 | 10.83 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 26.41 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |