← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Salernitana −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 74' | 🟨 | Emanuele Cicerelli · Salernitana |
| 87' | ⚽ | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Kragl · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 84.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1454.12 | 1402.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.58 | -10.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.35 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.93 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |