← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Oct 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 41% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Pordenone win | 29% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.25 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Sebastian Musiolik · Pordenone |
| 29' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 35' | 🟨 | Roberto Ogunseye · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alberto Barison · Pordenone |
| 53' | ⚽ | Camillo Tavernelli · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 26 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1938.00 | 978.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1510.85 | 1480.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.79 | -18.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |