β Serie B 2020 Β· Tue, Oct 20, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 |
| Reggiana win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli β0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggiana β0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ (pen) | Abdelhamid Sabiri Β· Ascoli |
| 16' | π¨ | Ivan Varone Β· Reggiana |
| 20' | π¨ | Dario Ε ariΔ Β· Ascoli |
| 22' | π¨ | Raffaele Pucino Β· Ascoli |
| 24' | π¨ | Davide Voltan Β· Reggiana |
| 25' | β½ | Riad BajiΔ Β· Ascoli |
| 77' | π¨ | Giuseppe Zampano Β· Reggiana |
| 78' | π¨ | Niko Kirwan Β· Reggiana |
| 86' | π¨ | Salvatore Pezzella Β· Reggiana |
| 90' | π¨ | Bright Gyamfi Β· Reggiana |
| 90' | π¨ | Simone Mazzocchi Β· Reggiana |
| 90' | β½ | Simone Mazzocchi Β· Reggiana |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | β |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 141.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | β |
| elo | 1391.11 | 1499.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.95 | β |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 59.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | β |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | β |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | β |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | β |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 79.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.67 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 26.77 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | β |