← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 38% | 2.66 |
| Reggina win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Reggina +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 32' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Virtus Entella |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marco Rossi · Reggina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Crimi · Virtus Entella |
| 51' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Reggina |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marco Crimi · Virtus Entella |
| 61' | 🟥 | Marco Crimi · Virtus Entella |
| 76' | 🟨 | Filippo De Col · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 28 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 839.00 | 565.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1413.91 | 1359.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.24 | -6.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 13.91 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 29.23 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |