← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Cosenza win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Cosenza +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
| 18' | ⚽ | Mirko Carretta · Cosenza |
| 24' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 34' | 🟨 | Luca Maniero · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 40' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1416.00 | 1935.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1470.57 | 1510.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.00 | 49.19 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 12.71 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 26.47 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |