← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Pisa win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 57' | ⚽ | Tomasz Kupisz · Salernitana |
| 63' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tomasz Kupisz · Salernitana |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 89' | 🟨 | André Anderson · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 21 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 77.00 | 869.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1438.53 | 1462.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.69 | 1.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 13.99 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.27 | 27.83 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |