← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 3, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sebastiano Esposito · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Matteo Legittimo · Cosenza |
| 48' | ⚽ | Bartosz Salamon · Spal |
| 62' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ihsan Sacko · Cosenza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luca Bittante · Cosenza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Tiritiello · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 63.00 | 1402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.18 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1471.36 | 1468.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.31 | 55.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.09 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.80 | 29.95 |
| state index | -1.44 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |