← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Oct 3, 12:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Salernitana win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Vasile Mogoș · Chievo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Walter López · Salernitana |
| 24' | ⚽ | Vasile Mogoș · Chievo |
| 34' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Chievo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ramzi Aya · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 216.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1513.33 | 1424.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.89 | -19.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.01 | 7.01 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 29.07 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |