← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, May 21, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 75% | 1.28 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.50 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 10% | 11.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor +1.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce +1.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 23' | 🟥 | Barış Başdaş · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 32' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Atakan Mujde · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 70' | 🟨 | Attila Szalai · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 29 |
| 4 | On target | 12 |
| 0 | Corners | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 81.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1336.92 | 1710.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.02 | 9.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.79 |
| league points | 27.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 1.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 24.19 | 27.82 |
| state index | -1.79 | 1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |