← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, May 8, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Fenerbahce win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Besiktas −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Filip Novák · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | 🟨 | Souza · Besiktas |
| 29' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 36' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ersin Destanoğlu · Besiktas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | 🟨 | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rıdvan Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ferdi Kadıoğlu |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 68.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1605.52 | 1717.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.16 | 34.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 61.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 8.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 27.83 |
| state index | -0.02 | 1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |