← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, May 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Filiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.66 |
| Goztep win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −1 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Goztep −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.61 |
| Under | 39% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 39' | 🟨 | Kerim Alıcı · Goztep |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 47' | ⚽ | Makana Baku · Goztep |
| 51' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 64' | ⚽ | Burak Bekaroğlu · Karagumruk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kristijan Bistrović · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 187.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1581.09 | 1396.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.14 | -41.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.33 |
| league points | 69.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.61 | -1.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |