← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Özdamar
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Kayserispor win | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Besiktas +0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
| 50' | ⚽ | Serdar Saatçı · Besiktas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Besiktas |
| 75' | ⚽ | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Valentin Rosier · Besiktas |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 82' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Besiktas |
| 82' | 🟥 | Francisco Montero · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 273.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1523.46 | 1595.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.19 | -30.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 5.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.88 | 24.96 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |