← Süper Lig 2021 · Fri, Apr 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Saka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Gaziantep win | 12% | 7.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Gaziantep −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.49 |
| Under | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Diego Rossi · Fenerbahce |
| 52' | 🟨 | Papy Djilobodji · Gaziantep |
| 55' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Amedej Vetrih · Gaziantep |
| 55' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Gaziantep |
| 62' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 80' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 82' | ⚽ | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 149.00 | 363.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.52 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1713.70 | 1510.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.87 | -17.05 |
| eye test v1 | 1.70 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 80.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 28.35 |
| state index | 1.66 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |