← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Y. Kol
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 70% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Goztep win | 11% | 8.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Goztep −1.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | 🟨 | Franco di Santo · Goztep |
| 77' | 🟨 | François Moubandje · Goztep |
| 82' | 🟥 | François Moubandje · Goztep |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Arda Güler · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kahraman Demirtaş · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 136.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1701.31 | 1422.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.86 | -40.49 |
| eye test v1 | 1.53 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| league points | 74.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 27.74 |
| state index | 1.52 | -1.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |