← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: O. Ergün
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Sivasspor win | 28% | 3.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Hatayspor |
| 61' | ⚽ | Yassine Benzia · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Monir El Kajoui · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Max Gradel · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 623.00 | 1050.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1546.28 | 1568.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.03 | -19.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 4.71 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.03 | 31.54 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |