← Süper Lig 2021 · Fri, Apr 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.91 |
| Karagumruk win | 14% | 7.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −1.25 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Pešić · Karagumruk |
| 36' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yusuf Erdoğan · Trabzonspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Derrick Luckassen · Karagumruk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 58' | ⚽ | Vitor Hugo · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 530.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1749.92 | 1554.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.42 | 11.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 86.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.96 | 28.04 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |