← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Diego Rossi · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 56' | 🟨 | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 73' | 🟨 | Onur Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arda Güler · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 244.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1530.07 | 1667.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.91 | 47.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | 0.93 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 14.83 | 12.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.52 | 1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |