← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Mar 20, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Altay win | 20% | 5.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Sivasspor −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Altay |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fayçal Fajr · Sivasspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Martín Rodríguez · Altay |
| 73' | 🟨 | André Poko · Altay |
| 78' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Altay |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 1023.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1599.96 | 1433.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.18 | 20.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.78 |
| league points | 47.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 30.52 | 29.63 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |