← Süper Lig 2021 · Fri, Mar 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Kayserispor win | 25% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Karagumruk −0.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 36' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 47' | 🟨 | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 56' | 🟨 | Majid Hosseini · Kayserispor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Karagumruk |
| 75' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mustafa Pektemek · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 137.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1543.13 | 1544.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.00 | -15.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 28.96 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |