← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Mar 13, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Alanyaspor win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Alanyaspor +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Diego Rossi · Fenerbahce |
| 49' | 🟨 | Chidozie Awaziem · Alanyaspor |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Mesut Özil · Fenerbahce |
| 53' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Alanyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Alanyaspor |
| 78' | ⚽ | Arda Güler · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mergim Berisha · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 9 | On target | 9 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| coach days | 71.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1605.43 | 1641.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.14 | 23.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 58.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.16 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |