← Süper Lig 2021 · Mon, Mar 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Arslanboğa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 39% | 2.70 |
| Alanyaspor win | 32% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mert Çetin · Kayserispor |
| 25' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Kayserispor |
| 34' | ⚽ | Andrea Bertolacci · Kayserispor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Gustavo Campanharo · Kayserispor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Erencan Yardımcı · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 218.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1565.12 | 1594.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.53 | 2.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 53.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.58 | 29.18 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |