← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Saka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Altay win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Altay −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Ahmed Musa · Karagumruk |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mohammad Naderi · Altay |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mohammad Naderi · Altay |
| 42' | 🟥 | Mohammad Naderi · Altay |
| 79' | 🟨 | Yannis Salibur · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Altay |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 125.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1563.54 | 1420.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.73 | 24.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.34 | 28.67 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |