← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Güzenge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Sivasspor win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sivasspor +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Isaac Cofie · Sivasspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kerem Atakan Kesgin · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Gradel · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 111.00 | 995.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1524.13 | 1609.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.19 | -26.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 43.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.25 | 29.67 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |