← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Luiz Adriano · Antalyaspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fredy · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sadık Çiftpınar · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fernando · Antalyaspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Buğra Çağıran · Yeni Malatyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 18.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1411.39 | 1472.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.70 | 22.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.90 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 28.43 |
| state index | -1.31 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |