← Süper Lig 2021 · Mon, Feb 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Goztep win | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Goztep −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | François Moubandje · Goztep |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yassine Benzia · Hatayspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 64' | 🟨 | Sam Adekugbe · Hatayspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Goztep |
| 75' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Franco di Santo · Goztep |
| 88' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Ergün · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 562.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1537.66 | 1511.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.32 | 28.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 40.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 28.00 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |