← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Saka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Altay win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Altay −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Kadah · Altay |
| 43' | 🟨 | Özgür Özkaya · Altay |
| 45' | 🟨 | Obinna Nwobodo · Goztep |
| 49' | ⚽ | Thaciano · Altay |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dino Arslanagić · Goztep |
| 86' | 🟨 | Zeki Yildirim · Altay |
| 90' | 🟨 | Atınç Nukan · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mateusz Lis · Altay |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Altay |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 158.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1534.44 | 1390.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.71 | -35.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 37.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 28.72 |
| state index | 0.67 | -1.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |