← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Palabıyık
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Kristijan Bistrović · Karagumruk |
| 37' | 🟨 | Godfred Donsah · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Gastón Campi · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Mounir Chouiar · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 63' | ⚽ | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kenan Özer · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Yeni Malatyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 96.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1537.81 | 1420.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.51 | -11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 29.16 | 27.55 |
| state index | -0.96 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |