← Süper Lig 2021 · Fri, Feb 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Hatayspor win | 29% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Emre Kaplan · Hatayspor |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | İbrahim Akdağ · Kayserispor |
| 47' | ⚽ | Carlos Mané · Kayserispor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Hatayspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Adama Traoré · Hatayspor |
| 61' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Kayserispor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Uğur Demirok · Kayserispor |
| 70' | ⚽ | Simon Falette · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 187.00 | 552.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1548.60 | 1545.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.89 | -3.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.54 |
| league points | 45.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 12.27 | 12.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 28.21 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |