← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Alanyaspor win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Altay −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Mohammad Naderi · Altay |
| 26' | ⚽ | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mateusz Lis · Altay |
| 64' | 🟨 | Thaciano · Altay |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marco Paixão · Altay |
| 81' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nemanja Milunović · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Altay | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1410.17 | 1548.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.12 | -27.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 20.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 29.01 |
| state index | -1.65 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |