← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
| Rizespor win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.5 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Rizespor −0.5 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 31' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Pešić · Karagumruk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Sebastian Holmén · Rizespor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 75' | ⚽ | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 77' | 🟥 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Yannis Salibur · Karagumruk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Erik Sabo · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 75.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1575.85 | 1443.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.25 | 25.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 37.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.77 | 29.29 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |