← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Jan 8, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Karagumruk win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Furkan Soyalp · Gaziantep |
| 10' | 🟨 | Tunay Torun · Karagumruk |
| 18' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Gaziantep |
| 39' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alexander Merkel · Gaziantep |
| 50' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 73' | ⚽ | João Figueiredo · Gaziantep |
| 86' | 🟨 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 252.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1565.00 | 1589.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.11 | -27.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 34.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 12.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 30.69 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |