← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Dec 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Ulusoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
| Karagumruk win | 26% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 21' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Alanyaspor |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Pešić · Karagumruk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| coach days | 25.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1547.49 | 1588.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.08 | -41.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 30.29 | 30.28 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |