← Süper Lig 2021 · Wed, Dec 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Özdamar
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Karagumruk win | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.86 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Pešić · Karagumruk |
| 37' | 🟥 | Burak Bekaroğlu · Karagumruk |
| 38' | 🟥 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Mesut Özil · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Adnan Ugur · Karagumruk |
| 72' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots | 29 |
| 2 | On target | 14 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 51.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1588.08 | 1672.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.06 | -12.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 35.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.17 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 30.41 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |