← Süper Lig 2021 · Tue, Dec 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Altay win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Djaniny · Trabzonspor |
| 33' | ⚽ | Cebrail Karayel · Altay |
| 35' | 🟨 | André Poko · Altay |
| 51' | ⚽ | Andreas Cornelius · Trabzonspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marek Hamšík · Trabzonspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | César Pinares · Altay |
| 64' | 🟨 | Anastasios Bakasetas · Trabzonspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mohammad Naderi · Altay |
| 88' | ⚽ | Andreas Cornelius · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Altay | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı |
| coach days | 264.00 | 415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1442.00 | 1742.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.97 | 13.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 42.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| league points | 20.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 28.48 |
| state index | -1.12 | 0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |