← Süper Lig 2021 · Fri, Dec 10, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Hatayspor win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Altay −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Martín Rodríguez · Altay |
| 18' | 🟨 | Mohammed Kesselly Kamara · Hatayspor |
| 21' | ⚽ | César Pinares · Altay |
| 38' | ⚽ | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Hatayspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Leandro Kappel · Altay |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tolga Ünlü · Altay |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Altay | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı |
| coach days | 253.00 | 496.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1460.87 | 1570.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.31 | -66.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 5.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 29.21 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.96 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |