← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Oct 31, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Kayserispor win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Kayserispor +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 22' | ⚽ | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 29' | 🟨 | Emiliano Viviano · Karagumruk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 61' | 🟥 | Derrick Luckassen · Karagumruk |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mario Gavranović · Kayserispor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Onur Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Olivier Kemen · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Onur Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟥 | Onur Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mame Thiam · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 91.00 | 730.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1528.85 | 1614.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.66 | 13.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 30.88 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |