← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Oct 24, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Özkahya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Hatayspor win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad · Karagumruk |
| 38' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Pešić · Karagumruk |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad · Karagumruk |
| 88' | 🟥 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tunay Torun · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 723.00 | 449.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1615.98 | 1639.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.78 | 25.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 5.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.80 | 28.64 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.37 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |