← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Goztep win | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Eğribayat · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marek Hamšík · Trabzonspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gervinho · Trabzonspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Vitor Hugo · Trabzonspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Atınç Nukan · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hüseyin Türkmen · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Cornelius · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 52.00 | 356.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1492.92 | 1702.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.51 | 29.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 1.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 14.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.81 |
| state index | -0.10 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |