← Süper Lig 2021 · Mon, Oct 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Gaziantep win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Gaziantep −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Muhammet Demir · Gaziantep |
| 51' | 🟨 | Steven Caulker · Gaziantep |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 67' | 🟨 | Doğan Erdoğan · Gaziantep |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mohammed Kesselly Kamara · Hatayspor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenan Özer · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 443.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1634.01 | 1539.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.60 | -20.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| league points | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 15.27 | 15.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 28.66 |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |