← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Arslanboğa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Karagumruk win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Altay −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.66 |
| Under | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Yann Karamoh · Karagumruk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Altay |
| 62' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Yann Karamoh · Karagumruk |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tunay Torun · Karagumruk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Zeki Yildirim · Altay |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Paixão · Altay |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 24 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Altay | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bornova Aziz Kocaoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 199.00 | 716.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1492.68 | 1607.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.18 | 10.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.38 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.75 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 30.36 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |