← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Oct 3, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Altay win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Altay +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 57' | ⚽ | Alexander Merkel · Gaziantep |
| 60' | 🟨 | Cebrail Karayel · Altay |
| 61' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 63' | ⚽ | Erhan Çelenk · Altay |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Gaziantep |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Altay |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 155.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1525.94 | 1506.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.77 | 16.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 54.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.95 | 29.52 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |