← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Numanoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Trabzonspor +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Anastasios Bakasetas · Trabzonspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Manolis Siopis · Trabzonspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Kayserispor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Uğur Demirok · Kayserispor |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Anastasios Bakasetas · Trabzonspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Emrah Başsan · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emre Demir · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 62.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1560.67 | 1682.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.14 | 9.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 29.26 | 29.02 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |