← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Sep 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Hatayspor win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Fenerbahce +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Diego Rossi · Fenerbahce |
| 29' | ⚽ | Filip Novák · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Fenerbahce |
| 70' | ⚽ | Dylan Saint-Louis · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mohammed Kesselly Kamara · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filip Novák · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 421.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1632.94 | 1698.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.93 | -40.67 |
| eye test v1 | 1.08 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 26.96 |
| state index | 1.00 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |