← Süper Lig 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Ulusoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Karagumruk win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Olarenwaju Kayode · Sivasspor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Dimitris Goutas · Sivasspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jorge Félix · Sivasspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 71' | ⚽ | Max Gradel · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ervin Zukanović · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 847.00 | 694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1609.54 | 1601.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.96 | 16.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 1.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.93 | 29.96 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |