← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 77% | 1.24 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.65 |
| Seraing United win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +2 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Genk +2 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟥 | Kouadio Dabila · Seraing United |
| 44' | 🟨 | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 44' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kristian Thorstvedt · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 3 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 99.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1425.73 | 1610.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.80 | -17.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| league points | 32.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 24.62 | 24.42 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |