← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.98 |
| Waregem win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Charleroi −1.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 16' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 28' | ⚽ (og) | Ibrahima Seck · Charleroi |
| 78' | 🟨 | Omar Govea · Waregem |
| 79' | 🟨 | Laurens De Bock · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 283.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1560.31 | 1451.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.95 | 3.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 52.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.70 | 28.71 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |