← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Oostende win | 27% | 3.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| AS Eupen −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Kyle Duncan · Oostende |
| 24' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Oostende |
| 28' | 🟨 | Kyle Duncan · Oostende |
| 28' | 🟥 | Kyle Duncan · Oostende |
| 38' | ⚽ | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 55' | 🟨 | Teddy Alloh · AS Eupen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jerome Deom · AS Eupen |
| 79' | 🟨 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 81' | ⚽ | Alessandro Albanese · Oostende |
| 86' | 🟨 | Giannis Konstantelias · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 1043.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1460.47 | 1435.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.82 | -12.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| league points | 39.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 24.89 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |