← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Charleroi win | 14% | 6.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Anderlecht −1.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Olsson · Anderlecht |
| 61' | ⚽ | Joshua Zirkzee · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 79' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
| 86' | ⚽ | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 1 |
| 11 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 610.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1690.05 | 1570.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.52 | 20.79 |
| eye test v1 | 1.26 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 62.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 23.08 |
| state index | 0.86 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |