← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Standard win | 19% | 5.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Standard +0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 20' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · Standard |
| 24' | ⚽ | Moussa Sissako · Standard |
| 28' | 🟨 | Joachim Van Damme · Standard |
| 36' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gilles Dewaele · Standard |
| 70' | ⚽ | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
| 83' | ⚽ | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 88' | 🟨 | Samuel Bastien · Standard |
| 88' | 🟨 | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 276.00 | 702.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1500.43 | 1711.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.61 | 16.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| league points | 39.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 13.85 | 15.66 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.04 | 1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |